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YouTubeDeepLink
90% accurate test. 8% actual chance. #bayesian #bayestheorem #inference#Probability #math
90% accurate medical test. 8% actual chance of being sick. This is the power of prior probability, the most important concept in Bayesian inference that almost everyone ignores. In this 60-second animation, I break down why even highly accurate tests can be misleading when the disease is rare. We'll visualize Bayes' theorem with a simple 1000 ...
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